Sengoliloeng sa lipatlisiso se phatlalalitsoeng ho Journal of Air Transport Management se hlahisitse liphetho tsa tlhahlobo e entsoeng ke bafuputsi ba Institute of Technology of Massachusetts (MIT) mabapi le kotsi ea ho shoa e amanang le maeto a sefofane a khoebo ho mopalami ka mong.
Liphuputso li bonts'a hore lifofane tsa sejoale-joale li bolokehile ka makhetlo a 39 ha li bapisoa le matsatsi a pele a maeto a lifofane ho elella bofelong ba lilemo tsa bo-1960.
The polokeho ea maeto a moea e ntlafetse haholo ho tloha ho thehoeng ha lifofane tse kholo tsa khoebo, bahlahlobisisi ba MIT ba re, ka monyetla oa hore ho be le lefu le hlahang maetong a sefofane a khoebo e le e 'ngoe ho baeti ba bang le ba bang ba 350,000 lefatšeng ka bophara nakong ea 1968 ho isa 1977, ha ka lehlakoreng le leng, sena. kotsi e fokotsehile haholo ho fihla ho e le 'ngoe ho tse 13,700,000 pakeng tsa 2018 le 2022.
Ba sebelisa lintlha tse tsoang ho Flight Safety Foundation, Banka ea Lefatše, le International Air Transport Association (IATA), bafuputsi ba MIT ba bapisitse mokhoa oa polokeho ea lifofane le "tlhaloso ea moeeng ea Molao oa Moore," ponelopele e entsoeng ke mothehi-'moho le Intel. Gordon Moore, ea tiisang hore bokhoni ba ho sebetsana le li-microchips bo ka ba habeli likhoeling tse ling le tse ling tse 18. Ka lebaka la papiso ena, ba hakantse hore lifofane tsa sechaba li batla li imenne habeli ka tšireletseho lilemo tse ling le tse ling tse leshome ho tloha bofelong ba lilemo tsa bo-1960.
Ho ea ka moprofesa oa MIT Arnold Barnett, bolaoli bo hlahelletseng mabapi le polokeho ea lifofane le sengoli-'moho sa thuto, polokeho ea lifofane e lula e ntlafala. Motho a ka 'na a nahana hore ho na le boemo bo fokolang ba kotsi bo ke keng ba fokotseha ho feta. Leha ho le joalo, menyetla ea ho shoa nakong ea maeto a sefofane e fokotseha ka hoo e ka bang 7% selemo le selemo, 'me palo ena e tsoela pele ho fokotseha ka halofo lilemo tse ling le tse ling tse leshome.
Leha ho le joalo, lipatlisiso ha lia ka tsa hlahloba lisosa tsa motheo tsa mokhoa ona. Barnett o fana ka maikutlo a hore lintlha tse ngata li phetha karolo ho ntlafatsa polokeho ea lifofane. Batšehetsi ba ka sehloohong ba kenyelletsa mekhoa e mecha ea theknoloji e kang mekhoa ea ho qoba ho thulana ha lifofane, tsoelo-pele ea koetliso ea basebetsi, le boiteko ba mekhatlo e laolang lifofane le mekhatlo ea polokeho.
Bahlahlobisisi ba MIT ba lemositse hore leha ho bile le tsoelo-pele e akaretsang polokehong ea maeto a sefofane, libaka tse ling tsa lefats'e li ntse li tsoela pele ho beha likotsi tse kholo bakeng sa lifofane tsa khoebo. Haholo-holo, nakong ea ho tloha 2018 ho isa 2022, United States, boholo ba Europe, Australia, Canada, China, Israel, Japan, le New Zealand li bile le sekhahla sa ho shoa ha mopalami ka mong se neng se le tlase ka makhetlo a 36.5 ho feta sa linaha tse ngata tsa Bochabela bo Hare, Amerika Boroa, le Afrika Boroa, ho phaella ho Korea Boroa, Taiwan, Thailand le Turkey.
