The Setsi sa Boits'oaro ba Bohahlauli le Boemo ba Likoluoa e ntšitse boipiletso bo potlakileng ba ho nka khato mabapi le litšitiso tse hlahang lefatšeng ka bophara tse ka 'nang tsa ama indasteri ea bohahlauli lefatšeng ka bophara. Pitso ea ho nka khato e ile ea qaloa ke molula-setulo oa setsi, Mohlomphehi. Letona la Bohahlauli la Jamaica, Edmund Barlett.
Co-chair e fane ka polelo ena ea tšohanyetso kajeno:
E nyarosang infernos tse 'nileng tsa senya linaha hohle Australia ho tloha ka Loetse 2019 ke tsa morao-rao letotong la maemo a leholimo a feteletseng le ao a e-so ka a bonoa a 'nileng a aparela libaka tse fapaneng tsa lefats'e lilemong tsa morao tjena. Ka 'nete, lefats'e ka bophara maemo a leholimo a ntse a kheloha litloaelong tsa bona tsa nalane.
Ketsahalo e tsejoang e le phetoho ea maemo a leholimo e bontšitse hore e tla tsoela pele ho ba tšokelo e ka sehloohong ea khotso le botsitso lefatšeng ka bophara seketeng sena sa lilemo. Tumellano ea Machaba a Kopaneng ea Phetoho ea Tlelaemete e bolela hore liphello tsa phetoho ea tlelaemete tse kang mello ea hlaha, ho phahama ha bophahamo ba leoatle, komello kapa likhohola li tla eketsa boima ba moruo oa linaha tseo hona joale li jang liranta tse libilione selemo le selemo.
Litsenyehelo tsa lefats'e tsa ho se sebetse ha phetoho ea maemo a leholimo li lebelletsoe ho nyolohela ho USD 54 trillion ka 2054 ho latela tlaleho ea morao-rao e phatlalalitsoeng ke Morgan Stanley. Ho phahama ha maoatle le lifefo tse matla ho ka qobella batho ba limilione tse makholo ho tloha mahaeng a bona metseng e lebōpong la leoatle, ka litšenyehelo tse akaretsang ho ea libakeng tsa litoropo tse lebōpong la leoatle tse fetang $1 trilione selemo le selemo ka 2050. Ho phaella moo, ho lebeletsoe hore moruo oa lefatše o theohe ka karolo ea 7 lekholong. ka 2100 haeba lebelo la hajoale la phetoho ea maemo a leholimo le sa fetohe.
Libaka tse ikhethileng tse hlaselehang habonolo ke maemo a leholimo li tla ba thata le ho feta. Caribbean e itšetlehileng ka bohahlauli ho nahanoa hore e tla lahleheloa ke liperesente tse 22 tsa kakaretso ea eona ea GDP ka 2100 le lihlekehleke tse ling tse nyane tse ka 'nang tsa lahleheloa ke pakeng tsa 75 ho isa ho 100% ea GDP ha Pacific e lebelletsoe ho lahleheloa ke 12.7% ea GDP ea selemo le selemo ka 2100.
Bohahlauli ke le leng la mafapha a tlokotsing haholo ho fetoha ha maemo a leholimo. Bafuputsi ba Univesithi ea Waterloo ba hlokometse maemo a phahameng ka ho fetisisa a tlokotsi ea phetoho ea tlelaemete libakeng tse tsetelang haholo ho bohahlauli le moo kholo ea bohahlauli e lebelletsoeng ho ba matla ka ho fetesisa. Ka lebaka la boemo ba leholimo bo seng botle haholo, bahahlauli ba fihlang ba lebelletsoe ho theoha libakeng tsena hammoho le tlatsetso ea bona moruong oa lehae le oa naha. Sena se ka baka koluoa e matla le e e-so ka e bonoa ea botho ka lebaka leo. Tšireletso e le 'ngoe feela khahlanong le tšokelo e haufi e hlahisoang ke ho matlafala ha phetoho ea maemo a leholimo ke maemo a potlakisang a matsete a ho ikamahanya le maemo le maano a phokotso.
Ntle le maano a phokotso le ho ikamahanya le maemo, linaha tse ngata li kanna tsa ba le keketseho e tsitsitseng ea mocheso ho latela litloaelo tsa nalane mme ka lebaka leo li lahleheloa haholo ke chelete. Sena se tšoaretsoe linaha tse ruileng le tse futsanehileng hammoho le libaka tse chesang le tse batang. Ka nako e ts'oanang, Global Commission on Adaptation e fumane hore tekanyo ea kakaretso ea lichelete holima matsete a ntlafatso e ntlafetseng e phahame haholo, e nang le phaello ea litšenyehelo ho tloha ho 2: 1 ho ea ho 10: 1, 'me maemong a mang le ho feta.
Haholo-holo, lipatlisiso tsa bona li fumane hore ho tsetela $ 1.8 trillion lefats'eng ka bophara libakeng tse hlano ho tloha 2020 ho isa 2030 ho ka hlahisa $ 7.1 trillion ka kakaretso ea melemo. Libaka tsena tse hlano ke litsamaiso tsa temoso esale pele, meaho e mamellang boemo ba leholimo, temo e ntlafetseng ea mobu o omileng, tšireletso ea lifate tsa mangrove le matsete a ho etsa hore mehloli ea metsi e be matla haholoanyane. Ho phatlalatsa tlhahisoleseding e ka tšeptjoang ea sefefo letsatsi le le leng esale pele, mohlala, ho ka fokotsa tšenyo e bakoang ke 30%, ho latela tlaleho; letsete la liranta tse limilione tse 800 le ka qoba ho fihla ho $16 bilione ka litšenyehelo tsa selemo.
Mehlala ea morao-rao e bolela esale pele hore lefatše le tla tsoela pele ho futhumala ka lebelo le potlakileng, kahoo e totobatsa ho potlaka ha phokotso. Ka ntle ho ts'okelo ea phetoho ea maemo a leholimo, lekala la bohahlauli la lefats'e le lona joale le tlameha ho tobana le litšokelo tse ling tse ekelitsoeng ka lebaka la liketsahalo tsa morao-rao. Har'a tsona ke ho se tsitse ha maeto a sefofane a k'honthinente ka lebaka la ho hloka botsitso lipolotiking haholo-holo Bochabela bo Hare; ho mpefala ha botsitso ba matla; kotsi e ntseng e eketseha ea botlokotsebe ba marang-rang le monyetla oa mafu a seoa le mafu a seoa. Lefatše joale le tlameha ho arabela litšokelo tsena tse ngata tse senyang ka boikemisetso bo boholo ho feta bo khothalelitseng Lenaneo la Ntlafatso ea Moshoelella le boikitlaetso ba nakong e fetileng ba phetoho ea maemo a leholimo.
Setsi sa Global Tourism Resilience and Crisis Management Center se Univesithing ea West Indies Mona Campus hammoho le litsi tsa sona tsa sathelaete tse fumanehang Afrika le Asia li ntse li khanna puo e ncha mabapi le kaho ea ho mamella, haholo-holo har'a linaha tse itšetlehileng haholo ka bohahlauli.
Hon. Edward Bartlett, Letona la Bohahlauli Jamaica & Co-Molula-setulo oa Global Tourism Resilience and Crisis Management Center
Mokhoa o mong o sebetsang oa ho ntlafatsa bobuelli bo kopaneng le mehato ea ho aha botsitso boo re bo khothaletsang ke ho theha mokhatlo o hlophisitsoeng. Letlole la Global Resilience Fund ho tšehetsa linaha tse tlokotsing ho matlafatsa bokhoni ba ho fokotsa likotsi hammoho le ho hlaphoheloa kapele ka mor'a liketsahalo tse sitisang. Ho feta leha e le neng pele, mekhatlo ea poraefete, mekhatlo ea mmuso le e seng ea 'muso le mekhatlo ea sechaba maemong ohle e ntse e koptjoa ho tšehetsa morero ona ka ho sebelisa matla le lisebelisoa tsa bona ho matlafatsa moruo oa lefats'e o tobaneng le koluoa e ka bang teng.
Ena ke pitso ea ho nka khato.
SEO U LOKELANG HO SE NKA HO SEHLOOHO ENA:
- The tourism-dependent Caribbean is projected to lose 22 percent of its total GDP by 2100 with some of the smaller islands likely to lose between 75 to 100 % of GDP while the Pacific is projected to lose 12.
- Researchers from the University of Waterloo have identified the highest levels of climate change vulnerability in regions that heavily invest in tourism and where tourism growth is expected to be the strongest.
- At the same time, the Global Commission on Adaptation has found that the overall rate of return on investments in improved resilience is very high, with benefit-cost ratios ranging from 2.
