Ho ipapisitsoe le tlhatlhobo ea lipolelo tsa mmuso, likhakanyo tsa boema-fofane, le merero ea tlhoko ea maemo a tlase, phokotso ea butle-butle ea matla a moea malapeng Australia ka 2020 e setseng. e ne e tšoantšetsa ho khutlela maetong a kantle ho naha tlasa leano la mekhahlelo e meraro ea Mmuso oa Fora ho nolofatsa lithibelo tsa coronavirus Morero, o etselitsoeng ho tsosa moruo oa malapeng, o siea nako ea ho hlongoa bocha ha maeto ho ea liprofinseng. CAPA e etsa merero ea matla a lapeng ho fihlela 37% ea maemo a 49 ka matsatsi a phomolo a sekolo a Mphalane le 2019% bohareng ba Tshitwe 60.
APA's 'Airline Capacity Model' e ncha e ntlafalitsoe ho fa indasteri ea lifofane le maeto tataiso e matla ea menyetla ea bokamoso ba moea e ts'ehetsoeng ho:
- Litaba tsa 'mele tsa mantlha tsa mantlha, tse tsoang mananeong a OAG le tlhaiso-leseling ea sefofane ho database ea CAPA Fleet;
- Liqeto le liphatlalatso tsa Tonakholo le Tonakholo ea Naha mabapi le lithibelo tsa maeto le liphatlalatso tsa meeli;
- Litlhahlobo tsa CAPA, li ipapisitse le litlaleho tsa nako ea nnete le sistimi e ikhethang ea litaba tsa letsatsi le letsatsi tse bokellang lipale tse fetang 300 letsatsi le leng le le leng:
- Merero ea tsela ea lifofane le litheko;
- Boikemisetso ba sechaba le tšekamelo ea ho fofa;
- Kenyelletso ea litekanyetso tse tloaelehileng maemong a bohloeki kahare ho lifofane le boemafofaneng;
- 'Ho lekanya ka nepo' ea lifofane ho tsamaisana le tlhoko.
- Morero oa boema-fofane o ntlafatsoa ka nako ea 'nete, ha liketsahalo tse kholo tse ncha li etsahala.
Ho khutla ho etelletsoeng pele ke phepelo likhoeling tse tharo tse tlang ha lifofane li leka bapalami ho khutlela moeeng ka litefiso tse tlase ha li ntse li hatisa mehato ea ntlafatso ea bophelo bo botle le polokeho. Ha tlhoko e ntse e aha bocha, phepelo (matla le marangrang a tsela) e tla fetoloa ho ntlafatsa lihlahisoa 'me mmaraka o tla hlaphoheloa butle. CAPA e tla lekola lintlafatso tsa indasteri mme e ntlafatse Mohlala khafetsa.
Modulasetulo Emeritus, Peter Harbison o itse:
“Australia ke e 'ngoe ea linaha tse maemong a matle lefatšeng ka bophara ho thibela leqhubu la pele la tšoaetso ea COVID-19. Haeba sena se tsoela pele 'me re qoba ho phatloha hoa bobeli,' maraka oa moea oa malapeng oa Australia o ka bona matšoao a bophelo bohareng ba selemo le ntlafatso e tsitsitseng ka Keresemese. Leha ho le joalo, ha rea lebella ho bona maemo a lifofane tsa malapeng a 2019 a fihla hape selemong sena. Machaba o tla otloa habohloko mme ho ka nka lilemo tse ngata ho fola. Le ha ho le joalo, sena se tla ba molemong oa mmaraka oa lapeng - hape e kanna ea amohela mesebetsi ea Trans Tasman ”.
Limmaraka tsa machabeng li ke ke tsa hlola li hlaphoheloa mme CAPA Model Capacity Model e bona matla a moea a machabeng (linomoro tsa setulo) a ntse a theohile ka 92% selemo le selemo ka Phupu, -86% ka Mphalane, le -85% ka Tshitwe. 'Bubble' e ka bang teng ea Trans Tasman le New Zealand e kentsoe ho CAPA Model ho tloha ka Phato, ka likhokahano tse ling tsa Lihlekehleke tsa Pacific ka nako ea matsatsi a phomolo a Keresemese / Selemo se Secha.
Model e sebelisa maemo a latelang a mekhahlelo ea ho qala matla a moea. Ke mofuta o sebelisanang, o ipabotseng o lumellang basebelisi ho bona mehopolo e mabapi le ho qala hape ha maeto mebarakeng ea lapeng (ea mmuso) le ea machabeng, ho aha sets'oants'o sa bokhoni.
Bokgoni ba ho qala matlafatso likhopolong
| Phase | lebitso | Bokgoni (% ea 'Tloaelehileng' = 2019) | Tlhaloso / Mehopolo |
| 1 | Zero / E thehiloe | 0% | Lithibelo tsa maeto li fella ka ho theoa ha makoloi a lifofane kaofela |
| 2 | Skeleton | 5% | Lifofane li fana ka marang-rang a 'masapo' ebang ke ka boithatelo ba eona kapa ka mofuta o itseng oa lithuso tsa mmuso / mmuso, mohlala:
|
| 3 | Ho qala khoebo ka A - 'Ho Thibetsoe ka ho Feletseng' | 25% | Lifofane li qala ts'ebetso ea khoebo e 'Thibetsoeng Hantle', mohlala, ho hlokomela:
|
| 4 | Ho qala khoebo ka B - 'Basic' | 50% | Lifofane li sebelisa khoebo ea 'Basic', ho etsa mohlala: ho hlokomela:
|
| 5 | Khoebo e Qalella C - 'E thibetsoe' | 75% | Lifofane li sebetsa ka khoebo e 'thibetsoeng' ho etsa mohlala:
|
| 6 | Ho qala khoebo hape D - 'Standard' | 100% | Lifofane li sebelisa 'Standard' kapa khoebo e tloahelehileng, ho etsa mohlala.
|
SEO U LOKELANG HO SE NKA HO SEHLOOHO ENA:
- It is an interactive, excel-based model that allows users to then view the assumptions around the resumption of travel in domestic (state-based) and international markets, to build the overall capacity picture.
- International markets are unlikely to recover and the CAPA Airline Capacity Model sees international air capacity (seat numbers) still down by 92% year-on-year in July, -86% in October, and -85% in December.
- Based on a combination of analysis of government statements, airline projections, and underlying demand projects a slow, phased recovery in domestic air capacity in Australia through the remainder of 2020.
